AI In Genetics. What am I going to do with an Army of The Dead Vikings. Or why Vikings were not Scandinavian? Or is it a Master Data Management issue?
What is the probability of any random human on Earth having 4 ( Four) DNA connections to 34 persons on ill-fated boats on an island you never heard of?
ChatGPT
The probability of any random human on Earth having four DNA connections to 34 persons on an ill-fated boat on an obscure island is extremely low. Here’s a breakdown of why this is so:
1. Global Population and Gene Pool: The global population is over 8 billion. The genetic connections between individuals are diluted by the vast number of people and generations that separate them. Even if you have some common ancestors, the chances of four direct DNA connections to a specific group of 34 people are minuscule.
2. Historical Context: The ill-fated boat scenario suggests a specific, isolated historical event. Genetic links to such specific groups are less common unless you have a well-documented lineage connecting you to them.
3. Genetic Diversity: Human genetic diversity is immense. For any given individual, the probability of sharing significant DNA with another specific group of people depends on many factors, including geography, population size, and historical migrations.
4. Random Sampling: Considering a random human, the probability of sharing significant DNA with any specific small group of people (like 34 individuals) on a specific island is akin to winning a genetic lottery. The chances are incredibly low unless there’s a known familial or ancestral connection.
5. Genetic Markers and Relationships: The typical number of genetic markers shared between distant relatives decreases with each generation. Without a close familial connection, sharing four significant DNA markers with 34 people from a historical event would be exceedingly rare.
Overall, the probability of any random person having four DNA connections to 34 specific individuals from an ill-fated boat on an unknown island is astronomically low, making it a highly improbable scenario.
What is a probability of any random human on Earth of being connected to almost every Viking grave dug out in Denmark, Sweden, Faroe Island, Finland and the Baltics?
ChatGPT:
The probability of any random human on Earth being connected to almost every Viking grave dug out in Denmark, Sweden, the Faroe Islands, Finland, and the Baltics is incredibly low. Here’s a detailed analysis of why this is the case:
1. Global Population and Ancestry Distribution: With over 8 billion people on Earth, the distribution of ancestry is highly varied. While many people of Northern European descent may have Viking ancestry, the probability of any random person globally having such specific connections is very low.
2. Genetic Connections and Historical Populations: The Viking population, while influential, was relatively small compared to the global population even at the height of their influence. The likelihood of any single person having connections to nearly every Viking grave is diminished by the sheer number of other ancestors they would also have.
3. Genetic Drift and Ancestral Dilution: Over generations, genetic contributions from any given ancestor can be significantly diluted. As a result, while someone with Northern European ancestry might have some Viking genes, the specific probability of connecting to almost every Viking grave is low.
4. Geographical and Cultural Factors: Viking ancestry is more likely in individuals from regions historically influenced by Vikings. However, for a random person from an entirely different geographical and cultural background, the probability drops significantly.
5. Viking Burial Sites: The Viking burial sites across Denmark, Sweden, the Faroe Islands, Finland, and the Baltics represent a specific subset of the historical Viking population. The genetic connections to these sites would be even rarer unless there is a known lineage.
Probabilistic Considerations
To provide a more quantitative sense:- Northern European Descent: If we consider that a significant portion of Northern Europeans might have some Viking ancestry, the probability might be higher within this subset. For instance, if 1 in 10 Northern Europeans has some Viking ancestry, the probability for this group would be 10%.
- Global Population: Given the global population, the probability of any random individual having significant connections to almost every Viking grave is much lower, potentially in the range of 0.0001% or less, considering the dilution of ancestry and genetic drift over thousands of years.Conclusion
Overall, while there is a small probability for individuals of Northern European descent, the chance for any random person on Earth to be connected to almost every Viking grave in the specified regions is exceedingly low. The interconnectedness of human genetics means that while we may share distant common ancestors, specific, widespread connections to a narrowly defined historical group are rare.
What is a probability of any random person on Earth having a connection to 4 Vikings out of 34 Vikings on an island and connection to almost every Viking grave and having zero Scandinavian DNA?
The probability of any random person on Earth having the specific genetic connections described — namely, being connected to 4 Vikings out of 34 on an island, connected to almost every Viking grave in Denmark, Sweden, the Faroe Islands, Finland, and the Baltics, and yet having zero Scandinavian DNA — is extremely low, bordering on impossible. Here’s why:
1. Genetic Ancestry and Geographical Origin:
— Viking DNA: The Vikings primarily originated from Scandinavia, and their genetic makeup would be heavily Scandinavian.
— Non-Scandinavian DNA: If an individual has zero Scandinavian DNA, it means they lack genetic markers typical of Scandinavian ancestry.2. Specific Connections:
— Connection to 4 out of 34 Vikings on an Island: This suggests a very specific lineage, implying direct ancestry or close kinship.
— Connection to Almost Every Viking Grave: This further suggests a broad and deep genetic connection to the Viking population, which would almost certainly include Scandinavian DNA markers.3. Zero Scandinavian DNA:
— Genetic Impossibility: If someone is connected to such a wide array of Viking ancestors, they would almost certainly have some Scandinavian DNA. The Vikings were Scandinavian, so their descendants would carry those genetic markers.
— Genetic Testing Sensitivity: Modern genetic tests are highly sensitive and can detect small amounts of DNA from various ancestries. If a person had significant Viking ancestry, even several generations removed, some Scandinavian DNA would likely be detectable.Probabilistic Considerations
1. Global Population: With over 8 billion people, the genetic variability is immense. The likelihood of any single individual having the precise combination of Viking connections while lacking Scandinavian DNA is extraordinarily rare.
2. Genetic Dilution: While genetic markers can become diluted over generations, completely losing all traces of Scandinavian DNA while maintaining specific connections to Viking graves is highly unlikely.Conclusion
Given the improbability of having specific Viking connections and zero Scandinavian DNA, we can conclude:
- Near Zero Probability: The probability of such a scenario is near zero. It defies genetic principles and the known historical distribution of Viking ancestry.This scenario is practically impossible given our understanding of genetics and ancestry.
I think I just found Aryans….Or at least their genetic signature…
And no, I am not Scandinavian.
Btw, the answer is actually way simpler and lies in a Master Data Management. I think the way mappings are currently created are not being managed properly. In fact, Vikings are an easy one, try to figure out what is a genetic relationship between Japanese, Siberians, Tibetians, Aboriginal Australian and Youruba people in 1850s…Becuase according to my DNA, that’s who Vikings turned into…
